SPC Sep 16, 2020 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1231 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes associated with Tropical Cyclone Sally are possible
across portions of the Florida Panhandle, northern Florida,
southeastern Alabama, and southwestern Georgia. ...Tropical Cyclone Sally... Sally continues its very slow north-northeast motion toward the
AL/FL Panhandle border region. Early this morning, northern portion
of the eye was roughly 15 mi offshore and stronger convective bands,
with more discrete supercells, are beginning to rotate inland with
higher-buoyancy air mass. Latest trends/model guidance suggest the
center of Sally should gradually move inland across the western FL
Panhandle into southeast AL by the end of the period. This movement
should allow mid 70s surface dew points to spread a bit farther
north which should result in higher instability into portions of
southwestern GA than earlier indicated. Will extend 5% tornado
probabilities about 50 mi farther north to account for the more
inland position by 17/12z. ..Darrow/Moore.. 09/16/2020 

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